How they missed it – CNN
CNN’s Dylan Byers reports: The American political-media establishment does not understand the depth of anger in its own country.
That is one of the most significant lessons of the 2016 presidential election, in which Donald Trump overcame the doubts of a majority of reporters, pollsters and political scientists who believed Hillary Clinton was headed for a decisive victory.
Instead, white rural voters turned out in numbers that few so-called political experts expected, delivering that decisive victory to Trump.
“It’s a debacle on the order of Dewey defeats Truman,” Larry Sabato, the University of Virginia political scientist, told CNNMoney, referring to the famously incorrect headline that followed the 1948 presidential election.
“The media are so, so far removed from their country,” said Alec MacGillis, the veteran political journalist who writes for ProPublica. “The gaps have gotten so large. The media are all in Washington, D.C., and New York now thanks to the decline of local and metro papers. And the gaps between how those cities and the rest of the country are doing have gotten so much larger in recent years.”
Three days before the election, several media outlets and data journalists had put Trump’s likelihood of winning between 2% (Huffington Post) and 15% (The New York Times).